PAPER · READ ONLY

AUTONOMOUS ALL-MODE PAPER PORTFOLIO

Every market and every mode is now on the paper book.

INITIALIZING
DECISION HEARTBEATDATA DEGRADEDLAST SCAN CONNECTING
MARKETS SCANNED8LIQUID EUR UNIVERSE
ROUTES OBSERVED488 MARKETS × 6 ENGINES
VALIDATED / READY0 / 0HOLDOUT PASS / ENTRY READY
WAIT

The router is ranking every market and mode after costs.

EQUITYNO DATA
DRAWDOWNNO DATA
REALIZED P&LNO DATA
UNREALIZED P&LNO DATA
CORE DIRECTIONALFLAT
WAITING FOR POSITIVE NET EDGE

Validated routes trade normally; exploratory routes use one quarter of the risk budget and a 10× cap.

RANGE GRID · SIMULATEDFLAT
WAITING FOR A PAYING RANGE

A bounded long-only ladder of limit fills, opened only when the step clears its own fees. Fills are reconstructed from five-minute samples, so it under-counts rather than invents round trips.

ARBITRAGE & OPTIONSSIGNAL ONLY
RESEARCHED, NEVER TRADED

Both engines are scanned, costed and displayed, and neither ever opens a paper position. They stay signal-only until an atomic (arbitrage) and defined-risk (options) paper lifecycle exists.

VERLAUF · 14 TAGE0 ABSCHLÜSSE · 0 GEWINNER

Tageswerte aus dem Readiness-Report, Trades aus dem Paper-Buch. Ein Tag ohne Snapshots zeigt Abschlüsse, aber keine Equity — er wird deshalb nicht als Nullpunkt gezeichnet.

EQUITY · —NOCH KEIN VERLAUF
TIEF —HOCH —
NETTO0,00 €
GEBÜHREN0,00 €
BRUTTO VOR GEBÜHREN0,00 €
TREFFERQUOTE—
TAGABSCHLÜSSEGEWINNERNETTOGEBÜHRENEQUITY
—00———
ZULETZT GESCHLOSSENPAARSEITEERGEBNISGEBÜHRGRUND
NOCH KEINE TRADES—————
PAPER OPPORTUNITY BOOK0 ROUTES

Every mode is retained even when it is blocked, so WATCH, SIGNAL and COST VETO are visible instead of disappearing. SIGNAL marks a research-only route that will never be traded.

MODEPAIRSIGNAL / STRUCTURESTATUSNET EDGE

Adaptive validation: only a robust holdout can pass strictly and only an adequate one can pass on probation — a thin holdout is reported as THIN SAMPLE and never as a validated edge. Invalidated edges exit after 15 minutes.

ROLLING WALK-FORWARD EDGE

Strict passes and positive probation signals may enter.

TRAIN → HOLDOUT · 1H / 4H · COST ADJUSTED · SAMPLE GATED
BTC/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—
ETH/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—
XRP/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—
SOL/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—
ADA/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—
DOGE/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—
LINK/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—
AVAX/EURLOADING
NO DATA
MODEL / HORIZON
—
WIN RATE
—
HOLDOUT / TRAIN
—
SAMPLE QUALITY
—
PROFIT FACTOR
—
STOP / TARGET
—

Models are selected only on the older training window, then judged on unseen recent holdout trades. Fees, spread and a post-only execution buffer are deducted before the route can pass. A holdout of fewer than 10 trades cannot pass at all: it is reported as THIN SAMPLE, and such a route may only be taken from the exploration budget at a quarter of the normal risk.

CONTROLLED MARKET UNIVERSE

Only liquid EUR pairs enter the race.

MAX 2 CONCURRENT PAPER POSITIONS
BTC/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—
ETH/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—
XRP/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—
SOL/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—
ADA/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—
DOGE/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—
LINK/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—
AVAX/EURFILTERED
NO DATA
BEST MODE
—
SIGNAL
—
SPREAD
—
NET EDGE
—

A market is eligible only with at least €400k rolling execution-feed volume, a spread at or below 6 bps, a complete five-minute history and agreement with an independent venue. The cost model still charges the full live spread before any paper entry.

ALL TRADING MODES

Six engines are researched. Four of them trade the paper book.

2 CONCURRENT · ISOLATED
SPOTREADY

Spot

HOLD
MARKET
ANALYZING
LEVERAGE
1×
NET EDGE
0.0 bps
ENGINE
EXECUTABLE · PAPER

Long only · no liquidation

ISOLATED MARGINREADY

Isolated margin

HOLD
MARKET
ANALYZING
LEVERAGE
30×
NET EDGE
0.0 bps
ENGINE
EXECUTABLE · PAPER

Long/short · dynamic 10×/30× cap · borrow reserve

PERPETUALREADY

Perpetual futures

HOLD
MARKET
ANALYZING
LEVERAGE
30×
NET EDGE
0.0 bps
ENGINE
EXECUTABLE · PAPER

Long/short · isolated dynamic 10×/30× · funding reserve

GRIDSTANDBY

Grid

HOLD
MARKET
ANALYZING
LEVERAGE
1×
NET EDGE
0.0 bps
ENGINE
SIMULATED · PAPER

Range only · bounded simulated ladder

ARBITRAGEMONITORING

Arbitrage

HOLD
MARKET
ANALYZING
LEVERAGE
1×
NET EDGE
0.0 bps
ENGINE
SIGNAL ONLY

Research only · never opens a paper position

OPTIONSSIGNAL ONLY

Options

HOLD
MARKET
ANALYZING
LEVERAGE
1×
NET EDGE
0.0 bps
ENGINE
SIGNAL ONLY

Research only · never opens a paper position

Spot, isolated margin and perpetuals compete for the single core paper position. Range-grid runs its own sleeve and holds one bounded, simulated ladder. Arbitrage and options are signal-only: they are scanned, costed and published, and neither has ever opened a paper position — an atomic arbitrage fill and a defined-risk option lifecycle are not implemented, so pretending to execute them would be fiction.

LIVE OPTIONS INTELLIGENCE

Expiry, strike, volatility and Greeks—not guesses.

DERIBIT PUBLIC · 60S CACHE
BTC/USD OPTIONS

Analyzing chain

CONNECTING
UNDERLYING
NO DATA
EXPIRY
—
ATM STRIKE
NO DATA
ATM / REALIZED IV
—
IV PREMIUM / SKEW
—
OI / 24H VOLUME
—
LIQUID CHAIN
—
MAX MODEL RISK
—
SELECTED DEFINED-RISK STRUCTURENO TRADE

Waiting for a complete liquid expiry surface.

NO ACTIVE LEGS
Δ —Γ —VEGA —THETA —
ETH/USD OPTIONS

Analyzing chain

CONNECTING
UNDERLYING
NO DATA
EXPIRY
—
ATM STRIKE
NO DATA
ATM / REALIZED IV
—
IV PREMIUM / SKEW
—
OI / 24H VOLUME
—
LIQUID CHAIN
—
MAX MODEL RISK
—
SELECTED DEFINED-RISK STRUCTURENO TRADE

Waiting for a complete liquid expiry surface.

NO ACTIVE LEGS
Δ —Γ —VEGA —THETA —

The engine evaluates long call, long put, bull call spread, bear put spread, long straddle and iron condor. Greeks are model-derived from live underlying price, strike, time to expiry and mark IV. Only structures with bounded maximum loss are considered. This sleeve is signal-only: nothing here is ever opened on the paper book.

CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Every spread gets a direction and a full cost veto.

BINANCE ↔ KRAKEN ↔ COINBASE
BTC/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—
ETH/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—
XRP/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—
SOL/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—
ADA/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—
DOGE/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—
LINK/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—
AVAX/EUREDGE
NO ROUTE
GROSS SPREAD
—
ALL-IN COST
—
NET EDGE
—

Binance, Kraken and Coinbase are scanned for the cheapest ask and highest independent bid. Fees, both spreads, the execution buffer and inventory rebalancing are all costed. This sleeve is signal-only: a cross-venue leg pair cannot be filled atomically here, so no paper position is opened on it.

SELECTED-MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Five specialists score ANALYZING.

REGIME · ANALYZING
ENSEMBLE SCORE—MODE / NET EDGE—

CHAMPION VS CHALLENGER

Four shadow books, one snapshot, no shared cash.

PAPER · SHADOW
SHADOW ONLY

Every challenger runs its own cash, positions, costs and drawdown, decided from the same confirmed snapshot as the champion. No shadow can move the champion book, no real order exists, and nothing here is promoted automatically — the verdicts below are recommendations to read, not actions.

BOOKLEVERAGE / REGIME GATEWINDOWNET P&LEXPECTANCYPFHITCOSTSMAX DDTRADESSAMPLE95% INTERVAL
CHAMPIONlive paper book · no regime gateALLNO DATA—UNMEASURED—————NOT ESTIMABLE
NO SHADOW BOOKS YETThe experiment tables are seeded on the first authorised tick after the migration runs.——————————
DECISION LOGNO DATA
NOTHING DECIDED YET

The decision log fills on the first authorised tick after the migration runs.

PROMOTIONINSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
NO OUT-OF-SAMPLE RESULT YET

A recommendation needs holdout trades. Until then the answer is that nothing is known, which is not the same as nothing working.

Leakage controls: one shared confirmed snapshot per tick, no same-tick entry and exit, decisions labelled with their walk-forward window before they are made, holdout-only promotion gates, an embargo between windows, and Šidák-corrected intervals. Survivorship: every pair the scanner offers is decided on and logged, including the ones that reject, so the decision log is not a record of winners only.

EXECUTION GATEWAY

Binance multi-product gateway with resilient market data and a cost veto.

CONNECTING · POST-ONLY
EXECUTION FEEDPRIMARY · MULTI-MODE

Binance is preferred; Kraken takes over book and history when the hosting region cannot reach Binance, while Coinbase confirms the price

SPOT MAKER / TAKERNO DATA

Perpetual paper routes use a conservative 2 / 5 bps fee model plus funding reserve

ANALYZING ROUND TRIPNO DATA

Spot baseline: fees + live spread + post-only execution buffer

MINIMUM MODEL EDGENO DATA

COST VETO ACTIVE

Private Binance trading APIs, borrowing and real orders remain disabled. The current system executes simulations only; no website credential can withdraw funds.

SYSTEM MAP

Operational layers

CONNECTING
01Market intelligenceCONNECTING
02Opportunity routerWaiting for feeds
03Risk governorIsolated paper risk · dynamic 10×/30×
04ExecutionPaper only · 0/2 sleeves used · no real orders
05Scheduled tickWaiting for health report

RISK CONSTITUTION

Every mode is visible. Every sleeve remains isolated.

0/2PAPER POSITIONS
  • Core risk per entry is capped at 0.1% of cash over the stop distance
  • Exploratory entries take a quarter of that risk and a 10× leverage cap
  • One grid ladder at a time, deploying at most 2% of cash
  • Arbitrage and options are signal-only and hold no capital
  • No live credentials, withdrawals or borrowing

OPERATIONAL HEALTH

A stale system reads as stale, not as calm.

CONNECTING
HEALTHCONNECTING

Waiting for the first health report.

VALIDATED TRADESNO DATA

Realized P&L booked by routes that passed walk-forward validation.

EXPLORATION TRADESNO DATA

Exploratory entries are booked under their own strategy keys and never counted inside the validated statistics above.

REALIZED BY MODENO TRADES YET

Every closed paper trade is attributed to the mode and execution class that produced it. A grid ladder closes several fills from one entry, so both counts are reported.

Health is derived from the last completed paper tick, the age and status of the market scan, per-venue coverage and whether an open position can be marked. It reports statuses and ages only — never a credential, a connection string or a stack trace.